Field notes / Note 017

Green is not a promise

2 min

A read-only tool that scores prediction markets for a person to look at. It places no orders and holds no wallet. It colours a market green only if every gate passes: score, clarity, spread, liquidity, data age.

Colour is a dangerous thing to give a screen. Green reads as go.

So the definition is written down in the scoring document: green is not a promise. It means passed the current filters, worth a human look. A stale market can never be green, however good it looks. The text explaining a score is not allowed to move the score.

Any dashboard is making claims in colour. Better to write down what the colour is allowed to mean, and then hold it to that.